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What are the big funds doing in gold?

…This week in plain English

New to COT data? Start here 2-minute read

What is this?

Every week the US regulator (the CFTC) publishes how big traders are positioned in gold futures. This page shows one group: managed money, meaning hedge funds and other large speculators.

Long and short

A long is a bet that gold will go up. A short is a bet that it will go down. Each contract covers 100 ounces of gold.

Net position

Net = longs minus shorts. A big positive number means funds are mostly betting on higher prices. A negative number means they're mostly betting on lower prices.

Why watch the change?

The weekly change shows whether funds are adding to their bets or pulling back. Several weeks in the same direction tells you more than any single week.

When positioning is extreme

If funds are near their most bullish level of the year, there may be fewer new buyers left. That can make gold more likely to drop sharply if they start selling. It's a warning sign, not a sell signal.

Commercials

Producers (miners, refiners) and swap dealers (banks) mostly hedge, so they're usually net short gold. They tend to take the opposite side to funds, which is why some traders watch them as the "other side of the trade".

COT Index

A 0–100 score showing where positioning sits within its last 3 years. Above 80 means funds are near their most bullish; below 20 means near their most bearish. Readings at the extremes are when positioning is most stretched.

What it can't tell you

The data is recorded on Tuesday and published on Friday, so it's a few days old. Use it as background for your own analysis, never as a buy or sell signal on its own.

Net position
Overall bet on gold: longs minus shorts
0
Long
Contracts betting gold will rise
Short
Contracts betting gold will fall
Open interest
All open gold contracts, every trader type
Long vs short
Long Short

Compared with the past year

COT Index (3 years)
Where funds' net position sits within its last-3-year range. 0 = most bearish, 100 = most bullish.
–/ 100…
Funds, 4 weeks ago–
Commercials now–

Who's on the other side?
Net positions of the main trader groups this week, and the change on the week.
FundsHedge funds, managed money
ProducersMiners, refiners, merchants
Swap dealersBanks
Commercials totalProducers + swap dealers

Net position history

Each point is one weekly report. Line going up means that group is adding to bullish bets; going down means it's pulling back. Tap Commercials to compare the other side.

Hover or tap the chart to see a week.

Recent weeks

Report dateLongShortNetNet changeCommercials netOpen interest

Source: CFTC Disaggregated Commitments of Traders, futures only, COMEX gold (contract code 088691). One contract is 100 troy ounces. Net is long minus short; spreading positions are excluded.

Positions are recorded on Tuesday and published on Friday at 3:30pm New York time, which is usually 8:30pm in London. This page loads the latest report each time it's opened.

Positioning data is for information only and isn't a trading signal or financial advice.